Маш завгүй байв. Хувийн амьдрал хувьсгалын замнал гээд олон зүйлийг ардаа орхиж, өчнөөн зүйлийг урьдчилан төлөвлөж явах замд нэгэн сайхан "surprise" байсан нь надад үнэхээр таалагдлаа. Ингээд унших үзэхийг бага зэрэг орхигдуулсан тул тооцоолж байснаас хамаагүй багыг уншиж, багыг үзэв.
The motto for the period is:
Years ago, when I was younger
I kind of liked, a girl I knew
She was mine and we were sweethearts
That was then but then it's true
I'm in love with a fairytale
Even though it hurts
Cause I don't care if I lose my mind,
I'm already cursed...
- ALEXANDER RYBAK
Movies Watched
Terminator Salvation
Миний хөрш чөтгөр
The day the earth stood still
Slumdog Millionaire
North by Northwest by Alfred Hitchcock
Howl’s moving house
Lord of the rings 3
Wanted
Prestige
Last boy scout
Platoon
A mighty heart
Unbearable lightness of being
Gone baby gone
Jane Austen book club
Crimes and Misdeamors
Enchanted
Fear and loathing in Las Vegas
Once upon a time in America
I am not there
Burn after reading
Eagle Eye
Once upon a time in America
Taxi driver 1976
Atonement
La Dolce Vita
Golden Compass
Fur an Imaginary Portrait of Diane Arbus
Nations and nationalism
Gone baby gone
Prestige
Platoon
A mighty heart
Unbearable lightness of being
Jane Austen book club
Crimes and Misdeamors
Enchanted
Tales From Earthsea
Lost highway
Fareed Zakaria GPS series (CNN)
Superbad
Untouchables
Ace in the hole(1951)
Read
Next 100 years
Dreams from my fathers by Barack Obama
Зуун Жилийн ганцаардал
Далайн хөвөөний алаг хав толгой by chingiz aimatov
Саятан Артем Тарасов
Trial by Kafka
Metamorphosis by Kafka
11 minutes by Paulo Coelho
The Ascent of Money by Neil Furgeson
Underground by Haruki Murakami
Animal farm by Orwal
Hot flat and Crowded by Thomas Friedman
Energy Autonomy by Hermann Scheer
Windup Bird Chronicle by Haruki Murakami
Renegade: Making of the president (Audiobook)
How to move Mount Fuji
Barack Obama A Biography by Joann F.Price
Mozart Brain (Audiobook) by Richard Restak
Working with Emotional Intelligence (Audiobook)
The Powers to Lead (mp3 LSE)
Amazing palmistry secrets
Haruki Murakami and the Music of words by Jay Rubin
Уран Зохиолын Онол by С.Дулам
Далайн хөвөөний алаг хав толгой
Õÿçãààðã¿é èõ äàëàéä çàâüòàé ãàíö õ¿í þó ÷ áèø º÷¿¿õýí þì ãýæ ºâãºí ìýäíý. Ãýâ÷ õ¿í ñýòãýæ ÷àäíà. Ò¿¿ãýýðýý ñ¿ðëýã èõ Òýíãèñ, ñ¿ðëýã èõ Òýíãýðèéí ººäººñ ÷ ÿâæ ÷àäíà. Ò¿¿ãýýðýý áàéãàëèéí ò¿ìýí ýíõýë äîíõëûí ºìíº ººðèé㺺 áàòëàí ÷àäíà. Õ¿í áîë äàëàéí ã¿í, òýíãýðèéí ºíäºðòýé àâ àäèë þì. Òèéì ó÷ðààñ õ¿í àìüä ÿâàà öàãòàà ñýòãýëýýð òýíãèñ øèã õ¿÷èðõýã, òýíãýð øèã óóæèì ÿâäàã.[...]
ßàãààä ãýâýë õ¿íèé ñàíàà áîäîëä õÿçãààð ãýæ áàéäàãã¿é. Õýðýâ íýã õ¿í ¿õýõýä îíäîî õ¿í ò¿¿íèé áîäëûã öààø íü ¿ðãýëæë¿¿ëýí ñýòãýíý. Äàðàà÷èéí õ¿í öààø íü ñýòãýíý, èíãýýä ¿çýõýä áîäîëä õÿçãààð áàéõã¿é… ªâãºí èíãýæ óõàìñàðëàõäàà ýâëýðýõ, ¿ë ýâëýðýõүйí ãàøóóí æàðãàëûã ýäëýõ áºë㺺. [...] Þó õàðæ áóéã á¿¿ ìýä, òýíãèñèéí óñ øèðòýí ÿâàõäàà ºíºº àãóó èõ Çàãàñ-ýõíýðèéí òóõàé ç¿¿äýëäýã ç¿¿äèéã íü õàìò ¿ëäýýõèéã ìºðãºí ãóéí ÿâíà.
Next 100 years
p.12 Geopolitics assumes two things. First, it assumes that humans organize themselves into units larger than families, and that by doing this, they must engage in politics. It also assumes that humans have a natural loyalty to the things they were born into, the people and the places. Loyalty to a tribe, a city, or a nation is natural to people. In our time, national identity matters a great deal. Geopolitics teaches that the relationship between these nations is a vital dimension of human life, and that means that war is ubiquitous.
Second, geopolitics assumes that the character of a nation is determined to a great extent by geography, as is the relationship between nations. We use the term geography broadly. It includes the physical characteristics of a location, but it goes beyond that to look at the effects of a place on individuals and communities.
p.13 But the twenty- first century will be extraordinary
in two senses: it will be the beginning of a new age, and it will see a new global power astride the world. That doesn’t happen very often.
[..]So studying the twenty- first century means studying the United States.
p.18 But I am making a broader, more unexpected claim, too: the United States is only at the beginning of its power. The twenty- first century will be the American century.
p.24 In his book The Influence of Sea Power on History, Mahan makes the counterargument to Mackinder, arguing that control of the sea equals command of the world.
p.28This isn’t incompatible with American self- doubt. Psychologically, the United States is a bizarre mixture of overconfidence and insecurity.
p.65There are five areas of the world right now that are viable candidates. First, there is the all- important Pacific Basin. The United States Navy dominates the Pacific. The Asian rim of the Pacific consists entirely of trading countries dependent on access to the high seas, which are therefore dependent on the United States. Two of them—China and Japan—are major powers that could potentially challenge U.S. hegemony. From 1941 to 1945 the United States and Japan fought over the Pacific Basin, and control of it remains a potential issue today.
Second, we must consider the future of Eurasia after the fall of the Soviet Union. Since 1991, the region has fragmented and decayed. The successor state to the Soviet Union, Russia, is emerging from this period with renewed.
self- confidence. Yet Russia is also in an untenable geopolitical position. Unless Russia exerts itself to create a sphere of influence, the Russian Federation could itself fragment. On the other hand, creating that sphere of influence could generate conflict with the United States and Europe.
Third, there is continuing doubt about the ultimate framework of Europe. For five centuries Europe has been an arena of constant warfare. For the last sixty years it has been either occupied or trying to craft a federation that would make the return of war impossible. Europe may yet have to deal with the resurgence of Russia, the bullying of the United States, or internal tensions. The door is certainly not closed on conflict.
Fourth, there is the Islamic world. It is not instability that is troubling, but the emergence of a nation- state that, regardless of ideology, might form the basis of a coalition. Historically, Turkey has been the most successful center of power in the Muslim world. Turkey is also a dynamic and rapidly modernizing country. What is its future, and what is the future of other Muslim nation- states?
Fifth, there is the question of Mexican–American relations. Normally, the status of Mexico would not rise to the level of a global fault line, but its location in North America makes it important beyond its obvious power. As the country with the fifteenth highest GDP in the world, it should not be underestimated on its own merits. Mexico has deep and historical issues with the United States, and social forces may arise over the next century that cannot be controlled by either government.
In order to pinpoint events that will occur in the future, we need to examine now which of these events are likely to occur and in what order. A fault line does not necessarily guarantee an earthquake. Fault lines can exist for millennia causing only occasional tremors. But with this many major fault lines, conflict in the twenty- first century is almost certain.
Hot, Flat and Crowded by Thomas Friedman
It was an excellent book, and I always love reading Friedman, Furgason, Krugman and others. His language is clear and straight to the point without too much abstraction. Lots of stats included to back up his argument which I always appreciates. The one message clearly resonates throughout the book that is green green green or we die. Hehe “Renewable energy ecosystem for innovating, generating, and deploying clean power”
There were many ideas to pick, and also some business clues to pursue but without much feasibility study and small market in MOnoglia, it is hard to say anything substantial upfront.
Google said it was going into the energy innovation and generation business.
p.8: IN some ways, the subprime mortgage mess and housing crisis are metaphors for what has come over America in recent years: A certain connection between hard work, achievement, and accountability has been broken. We’ve become a subprime nation that thinks it can just borrow its way to prosperity – putting nothing down and making no payments for two years. Subprime lenders told us that we could have the American dream – a home of our own – without the discipline or sacrifice that home ownership requires.
p.23: Le me repeat that: Green is not simply a new form of generating electric power. It is a new form of generating national power – period. It is not just about lighting up our house; it is about lighting up our future.
56: At current rates of growth, the world economy will double in size in a mere fourteen years. (The bridge at the edge of the world by James Gustave SPeth)
“Americans” are popping up all over now […] moving into American stly living spaces, buying American style cars … Cities all over the world have caught America’s affluenza – surely one of the most infectious diseases ever known to man.
p.69: Tha bad news for today’s rising economic powers and new capitalists is that there are few virgin commons left to fule their takeoff into capitalism. “That’s why China is now reduced to stealing manhole covers,” said Pope. “Yes, it is unfair, but it’s the reality.”
p.117: 280 ppm CO2 in 1750, now 384 ppm.
p.187: Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will give you water in the desert from a deep generator powered well. Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will put every petrodictator out of business. Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will end deforestation from communities desperate for fuel and I will eliminate any reason to drill in Mother Nature’s environmental cathedrals. Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons,
and I will enable millions of the world’s poor to get connected, …
p.203: A reent studyt found the average American golfer walks about 900 miles a year. Another study found American golfer drink on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year. That means, on average, Americangolfers get about 41 miles to the gallon.
Kind of makes you proud. – From the internet
p.207: Pentagon planners like to say: “A vision without resources is a hallucination.”
p.244: But markets are not just open fields to which you simply add water and then sit back in a lawn chair, watch whatever randomly sprouts, and assume that the best outcome will always result. No, markets are like gardens. You have to intelligently design and fertilize them – with the right taxes, regulations, incentives, and disincentives – so they yield the good, healthy crops necessary for you to thrive.
p.273: Another way of putting it, Porter explained to me, is that pollution is simply waste: wasted resources, wasted energy, wasted materials. Companies that eliminate such waste will be using their capital, technology, and raw materials more productively to generate maximum value and therefore, will become more competitive. So properly crafted environmental regulations give a kind of two-for-one kick – they can improve both the environment and the competitiveness of a firm and a nation. […]
What is the difference betweena 20 percent and a 30 percent air conditioner energy-efficiency standard? Salon’s Leonard asked. Only about twelve 400 megawatt power plants.
p.290: A barrel of crude oil is forty two gallons. America consumes over twenty-one million barrels of crude oil per day, with more than half of that imported. About fourteen million of the twenty-one million goes to cars, trucks, planes, buses, and trains. The remaining seven million barrels go into heating buildings and manufacturing chemical and plastics.
p.309 “We always start by looking at the local power structure,” said Supriatna, “understanding the local communities, their cultures, their social and economic aspects, and the influence of the business sector – and [focusing on] what was in it for them and not just the orangutan.” If the orangutan benefits and the community doesn’t “ we lose th efounation for protecting the whole.”
p.373: America took roughly thirty two years between its first major effort to raise fuel economy standards for cars, in 1975 and its second major effort in 2007. Meanwhile, in 2003 China began to put in place a major fuel economy initiative for its cars and trucks and sent proposed new standards to the State Council for approval. They were adopted in 2004 and went into effect in 2005. Now all new cars and trucks must meet the new standard.
p.377: Jeff Biggers, author of The United States of Appalachia, wrote an essay in The Washington Post (March 2, 2008) that seemed to be a direct refutation of the plug into-coal advertisement:
Clean coal: Never was there an oxymoron more insidious, or more dangerous to our public health. Invoked as often by t eDemocratic Presidential candidates as by the Republicans… this slogan has blindsided any meaningful progress toward a sustainable energy policy… Here’s the hog-killing reality… No matter how “cap’n trade” schemes pan out in the distant future for coal fired plants, strip mining and underground coal mining remain the dirtiest and most destructive ways of making energy. Coal ain’s clean. Coal is deadly.
p.391: I understand politics. I am not naïve. But I also understand a crisis and an opportunity. As my friend the former Standford economist Paul Romer likes to say, “A crisis is a terrible thing to waste” But we are well on our way.
p.411: So what am I? I guess I wold call myself a sober optimist – I prefer to hold on to both of Auden Schendler’s business cards. If you are not sober about the scale of the challenge, then you are not paying attention. But if you are not an optimist, you have no chance of generating the kind of mass movement needed to achieve the needed scale.
Energy Autonomy by Hermann Scheer
The author is an amazing guy. I have not met him yet, but I am already impressed by his achievements and perseverance to promote renewable energy. In this book, he argued clearly and coherently why renewable energy is the only option we have today why not the nuclear or others. Over 20 years of pursuit, he finally established IRENA.
p.11: The bottlenecks and limits of nuclear and fossil energy supplies are just too obvious for that. But every setback results not only in additional lost time; it also breeds social-psychological discouragement. It is difficult for people who have taken the initiative in a spirit of high hopes, only to suffer repeated setbacks and disappointment, to summon up th energy and take a second go at it.
p.38: The consequences of energy poverty are ruinous exploitation of biomass, increasing steppe land, rural flight into the cities overflowing slums, the destruction of social structures and the disintegration of states, and crises that spill over into international conflicts. And yet, in a grotesque musjudgement of reality, using indigenous renewable energy to overcome this energy-determined poverty crisis is deemed economically unreasonable.
p.53: What matters are ideas and attitudes that can unleash initiatives. In any event, the basic assumption of an insufficient technological potential in untenable.
p.163: The conference’s final declaration warns: We risk the entrenchment of these global disparities and unless we act in a manner that fundamentally changes their lives the poor of the world may lose confidence in their representatives and the democratic systems to which we remain committed, seeing their representatives as nothing more than sounding brass or tinkling cymbals.
p.231: There is an important job to be done and
Everybody expects that Somebody would do it
Anybody could do it, but Nobody did it.
Somebody gets angry about that because it is Everybody’s job.
Everybody thinks that Anybody should do it,
but Nobody realizes that Everybody would not do it.
It ends up that Everybody blames Somebody
when Nobody does what Anybody has to do.
Windup Bird chronicle
May Kasahara
Wind-Up Bird
Kumiko
Nutmeg
p. 29:A noncommissioned officer with Japan’s Manchurian garrison, the Kwantung Army, he had suffered burst eardrums when an artillery shell or a hand grenade or something exploded nearby during a battle with a combined Soviet-Outer Mongolian unit at Nomon-han on the border between Outer Mongolia and Manchuria.
p.56 I am thirsty but I have stay still. I am hungry and I have to stay still. Where I suppose to stay still, I have to stay till.
p.275 Those people believe that the world is as consistent and explainable as the floor plan of a new house in a high-priced development, so if you do everything in a logical, consistent way, everything will turn out right in the end. That’s why they get upset and sad and angry when I’m not like that.
p.297
THE POWER TO LEAD
Soft power:
1. Emotional Intelligence
2. Create a vision
3. Communications - Rhetoric & Non-verbal communication
Hard Power Skill
1. Organizational skills - capacity to manage information flows and get things done.
2. Machevillion political skills - ability to size up people's fears and their hopes, play upon it minimum coalition to make things done. Stregths and weakness to create a coalition
- how to make alliances
- how to bully people into setting standards (bullying with a vision)
3. Contextual intelligence - when to use what kind of strategies.
- You have to know the culture how to operate in it.
- You have to know about the timing - when to act, when not to act, like a skilled surfer: Steps up on the board fall of Ex: Eiserhouwer adapted in the environment to lead.
Barack Obama A Biography by Joann F.Price
p.36 Barack was handed a list of people to interview and was charged with
the task of finding their self-interest. That was how people became involved
in organizations, Marty said, because they believed they would
get something out of the process. Once he found an issue, a self-interest,
that people cared about, he could get them to take action, and with action,
there would be power. Barack liked these concepts of issues, spurring action,
power, and people’s self-interest. For the first three weeks of his job,
he worked around the clock.
p.40 Another member of the DCP, Loretta Augustine-Herron, said of Barack that he was “someone who always followed the high road,” and she remembered him saying, “You’ve
got to do it right . . . be open with the issues . . . include the community instead of going behind the community’s back . . . you’ve got to bring people together. If you exclude people, you’re only weakening yourself. If you meet behind doors and make decisions for them, they’ll never take ownership of the issue.”
p.42 Barack had wanted to be part of a community, have a sense of
belonging, and he had a desire for acceptance; this was, he realized, what
drove him away from New York and to Chicago in the first place. Yet
what he found in his work as a community activist was that, to be true to
himself, he had to do what was right for others and have a commitment
and faith. He also realized that to understand suffering required something
else, too, but he had to find out what that something was. Faith in
oneself wasn’t enough
p.49 In his speeches, he tried to steer clear of contention, stick to
safe topics, and listen to others’ opinions.
p.55 Paul L. Williams, a lobbyist in Springfield, Illinois, and
a former state representative, said that Barack “came with a huge dose
of practicality,” and characterized Barack’s attitude as, “O.K., that makes
sense and sounds great, as I’d like to go to the moon, but right now I’ve
only got enough gas to go this far.
p.74 On one evening alone, he raised nearly $1 million for the Arizona
Democratic Party at a dinner attended by nearly 1,400 people. He also, in
2005, raised an estimated $1.8 million for his own political action committee,
known as the Hopefund.
p.90 On a visit to New Hampshire in December 2006, to an audience
described as rock-star size, Barack said, “America is ready to turn the
page. America is ready for a new set of challenges. This is our time. A
new generation is prepared at lead.”
p.93 Portraying
his candidacy as a movement rather than a campaign, he said, “Each
and every time, a new generation has risen up and done what’s needed to
be done. Today we are called once more, and it is time for our generation to answer that call.
p.100 When asked if senators who voted in favor of authorizing
the war bear some responsibility for the war in Iraq, Barack answered that
the authorization allowed the Bush administration to wage a war that has
damaged national security. “I leave it up to those senators to make their
own assessments in how they would do things differently or not.”
How to move mount Fuji
P.21 The "ordeal by trick question" was
possibly raised to the highest art by the monks of Japanese Zen.
Zen riddles are the antithesis of the Western logic puzzle,
though one might describe them as demanding an extreme sort
of outside-the-box thinking. A student of Zen demonstrates
worthiness by giving a sublimely illogical answer to an
impossible question. Zen master Shuzan once held out his short
staff and announced to a follower: "If you call this a short staff,
you oppose its reality. If you do not call it a short staff, you ignore
the fact. Now what do you wish to call this?" In traditional Zen
teaching, the penalty for a poor answer was a hard whack on the
head with a short staff.
Where do you see yourself in five
years? What do you do on your day off? What's the last book
you've read? What are you most proud of?
p.35 Terman defined intelligence as the ability to reason
abstractly. You may not feel this definition says a whole lot. It
was nonetheless reverentially quoted in the twentiethcentury
literature of intelligence testing. Today, it would
probably satisfy Microsoft's interviewers as a definition of
intelligence. Terman's main point was that intelligence is not
knowledge of facts but the ability to manipulate concepts.
p.59In 1979 Microsoft was fifteen people in Albuquerque headed by a twenty-threeyear old kid.
p.66Just in case anyone is in danger of forgetting this, the secret
to remaining ahead of the pack is not "Get Fat" It's "Stay
Hungry." Creativity doesn't happen without a few
constraints. That's why wise use of resources has been a
business tradition at Microsoft since the early days, when, to
be perfectly honest, there wasn't much choice in the
matter. But it remains our practice today, for the simple
reason that when you start leaning on your wealth instead
of living by your wits, you're in real danger of losing your
edge.
p.79"Good candidates have a tendency to try to naturally
keep things moving forward," says Spolsky, "even when you
try to hold them back. If the conversation ever starts going
around in circles, and the candidate says something like
'Well, we can talk about this all day, but; we've got to do
something, so let's go with decision X,' that's a really good sign."
p.98 "Throughout the interview, you look for the
candidate to say something that is absolutely, positively,
unarguably correct. Then you say, 'Wait a minute, wait a
minute,' and spend about two minutes playing devil's
advocate. Argue with them when you are sure they are right.
"Weak candidates will give in. No hire. Strong
candidates will find a way to persuade you. They will have a
whole laundry list of Dale Carnegie techniques to win you
over. 'Perhaps I'm misunderstanding you,' they will say. But
they will stand their ground. Hire."
p.104 Some recent analyses send the message that no one knows how to solve a problem until he or she solves it. In contrast to Simon's solution space, Harvard psychologist David Perkins speaks of a "clueless plateau." If the space of possible solutions is a landscape, and the right solution is somewhere on a big plateau over there, then you've got to search the whole plateau (and are clueless about where to start).
p.132 1. First decide 'what kind of answer is expected (monologue or dialogue). Design questions ("Design a spice rack") have no single right answer. That does not mean that everything is a right answer. "Not-so-smart candidates think that design is like painting: you get a blank slate, and you can do whatever you want," says Joel Spolsky. "Smart candidates understand that design is a difficult series of trade-offs."
p.136 6. "Perfectly logical beings" are not like you and me.
p.137 When you hit a brick wall, try to list the assumptions you're making. See what happens when you reject each of these assumptions in succession.
When crucial information is missing in a logic puzzle, lay out the possible scenarios. You'll almost always find that you don't need the missing information to solve the problem.
The Ascent of Money by Neil Furgeson
p.88: With success came ever greater wealth. When Nathan died in 1836 his personal fortune was equivalent to 0.62 percent of British national income. Between 1818 and 1852 the combined capital of the five Rothschild houses rose from ₤1.8 million to ₤9.5 million. As early as 1825 their combined capital was nine times greatr than that of Baring Brothers and the Banque de France.
p.98: The fate of those who lost their shirts on Confederate bonds was not especially unusual in the nineteenth century.
p.105: Worst of all was the social and psychological trauma caused by the crisis. “ Inflation is a crowd phenomenon in the strictest and most concrete sense of the word,” Elias cannetti later wrote of his experience as a young man in inflation stricken Frankfurt.
p.111: Yet it would be wrong to see this as yet another case of a defeated regime liquidating its debts through inflation. What made Argentina’s inflation so unmanageable was not war, but the constellation of social forces: the oligarchs, the caudillos, the producers’ interest groups and the trade unions – not forgetting the impoverished underclass or descamizados…
p.182: It may sound like just another story of Southern moral laxity or proof that those who live by the tort, die by the tort. Yet, regardless of Scrugg’s descent from good fellow to bad felon, the fact remains that both State Farm and All State have now decl;ared a large part of the Gulf of Mexico coast a “no insurance” zone.
p.183: The average American’s lifetime risk of death from exposure to forces of nature, including all kinds of natural disaster, has been estimated at 1 in 3288. The equivalent figurefor death due to a fire in a building is 1 in 1358. The odds of the average American being shot to death are 1 in 314. But he or she is even more likely to commit suicide (1 in 119); more likely still die in a fatal road accident (1 in 78); and most likely of all to die of cancer (1 in 5).
p.215: For Jose Pinera, just 24 when Pinochet seized power, the invitation to return to Chile from harvard posed an agonizing dilemma. He had no illusions about the nature of Pinochet’s regime. Yet he also believed there was an oppotrunity to put into practice ideas that had been taking shape in his mind ever since his arrival in New England. The key, as he saw it, was not just to reduce inflation. It was also essential to foster that link between property rights and political rights which ahd been at the heart of the successful North American experiment with capitalist democracy. There was no surer way to do this, Pinera believed, than radically to overhaul the welfare state, beginning with the pay as-you-go system of funding state pensions and other benefits. As he was it:…
Underground by Haruki Murakami
The motto for the period is:
Years ago, when I was younger
I kind of liked, a girl I knew
She was mine and we were sweethearts
That was then but then it's true
I'm in love with a fairytale
Even though it hurts
Cause I don't care if I lose my mind,
I'm already cursed...
- ALEXANDER RYBAK
Movies Watched
Terminator Salvation
Миний хөрш чөтгөр
The day the earth stood still
Slumdog Millionaire
North by Northwest by Alfred Hitchcock
Howl’s moving house
Lord of the rings 3
Wanted
Prestige
Last boy scout
Platoon
A mighty heart
Unbearable lightness of being
Gone baby gone
Jane Austen book club
Crimes and Misdeamors
Enchanted
Fear and loathing in Las Vegas
Once upon a time in America
I am not there
Burn after reading
Eagle Eye
Once upon a time in America
Taxi driver 1976
Atonement
La Dolce Vita
Golden Compass
Fur an Imaginary Portrait of Diane Arbus
Nations and nationalism
Gone baby gone
Prestige
Platoon
A mighty heart
Unbearable lightness of being
Jane Austen book club
Crimes and Misdeamors
Enchanted
Tales From Earthsea
Lost highway
Fareed Zakaria GPS series (CNN)
Superbad
Untouchables
Ace in the hole(1951)
Read
Next 100 years
Dreams from my fathers by Barack Obama
Зуун Жилийн ганцаардал
Далайн хөвөөний алаг хав толгой by chingiz aimatov
Саятан Артем Тарасов
Trial by Kafka
Metamorphosis by Kafka
11 minutes by Paulo Coelho
The Ascent of Money by Neil Furgeson
Underground by Haruki Murakami
Animal farm by Orwal
Hot flat and Crowded by Thomas Friedman
Energy Autonomy by Hermann Scheer
Windup Bird Chronicle by Haruki Murakami
Renegade: Making of the president (Audiobook)
How to move Mount Fuji
Barack Obama A Biography by Joann F.Price
Mozart Brain (Audiobook) by Richard Restak
Working with Emotional Intelligence (Audiobook)
The Powers to Lead (mp3 LSE)
Amazing palmistry secrets
Haruki Murakami and the Music of words by Jay Rubin
Уран Зохиолын Онол by С.Дулам
Далайн хөвөөний алаг хав толгой
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ßàãààä ãýâýë õ¿íèé ñàíàà áîäîëä õÿçãààð ãýæ áàéäàãã¿é. Õýðýâ íýã õ¿í ¿õýõýä îíäîî õ¿í ò¿¿íèé áîäëûã öààø íü ¿ðãýëæë¿¿ëýí ñýòãýíý. Äàðàà÷èéí õ¿í öààø íü ñýòãýíý, èíãýýä ¿çýõýä áîäîëä õÿçãààð áàéõã¿é… ªâãºí èíãýæ óõàìñàðëàõäàà ýâëýðýõ, ¿ë ýâëýðýõүйí ãàøóóí æàðãàëûã ýäëýõ áºë㺺. [...] Þó õàðæ áóéã á¿¿ ìýä, òýíãèñèéí óñ øèðòýí ÿâàõäàà ºíºº àãóó èõ Çàãàñ-ýõíýðèéí òóõàé ç¿¿äýëäýã ç¿¿äèéã íü õàìò ¿ëäýýõèéã ìºðãºí ãóéí ÿâíà.
Next 100 years
p.12 Geopolitics assumes two things. First, it assumes that humans organize themselves into units larger than families, and that by doing this, they must engage in politics. It also assumes that humans have a natural loyalty to the things they were born into, the people and the places. Loyalty to a tribe, a city, or a nation is natural to people. In our time, national identity matters a great deal. Geopolitics teaches that the relationship between these nations is a vital dimension of human life, and that means that war is ubiquitous.
Second, geopolitics assumes that the character of a nation is determined to a great extent by geography, as is the relationship between nations. We use the term geography broadly. It includes the physical characteristics of a location, but it goes beyond that to look at the effects of a place on individuals and communities.
p.13 But the twenty- first century will be extraordinary
in two senses: it will be the beginning of a new age, and it will see a new global power astride the world. That doesn’t happen very often.
[..]So studying the twenty- first century means studying the United States.
p.18 But I am making a broader, more unexpected claim, too: the United States is only at the beginning of its power. The twenty- first century will be the American century.
p.24 In his book The Influence of Sea Power on History, Mahan makes the counterargument to Mackinder, arguing that control of the sea equals command of the world.
p.28This isn’t incompatible with American self- doubt. Psychologically, the United States is a bizarre mixture of overconfidence and insecurity.
p.65There are five areas of the world right now that are viable candidates. First, there is the all- important Pacific Basin. The United States Navy dominates the Pacific. The Asian rim of the Pacific consists entirely of trading countries dependent on access to the high seas, which are therefore dependent on the United States. Two of them—China and Japan—are major powers that could potentially challenge U.S. hegemony. From 1941 to 1945 the United States and Japan fought over the Pacific Basin, and control of it remains a potential issue today.
Second, we must consider the future of Eurasia after the fall of the Soviet Union. Since 1991, the region has fragmented and decayed. The successor state to the Soviet Union, Russia, is emerging from this period with renewed.
self- confidence. Yet Russia is also in an untenable geopolitical position. Unless Russia exerts itself to create a sphere of influence, the Russian Federation could itself fragment. On the other hand, creating that sphere of influence could generate conflict with the United States and Europe.
Third, there is continuing doubt about the ultimate framework of Europe. For five centuries Europe has been an arena of constant warfare. For the last sixty years it has been either occupied or trying to craft a federation that would make the return of war impossible. Europe may yet have to deal with the resurgence of Russia, the bullying of the United States, or internal tensions. The door is certainly not closed on conflict.
Fourth, there is the Islamic world. It is not instability that is troubling, but the emergence of a nation- state that, regardless of ideology, might form the basis of a coalition. Historically, Turkey has been the most successful center of power in the Muslim world. Turkey is also a dynamic and rapidly modernizing country. What is its future, and what is the future of other Muslim nation- states?
Fifth, there is the question of Mexican–American relations. Normally, the status of Mexico would not rise to the level of a global fault line, but its location in North America makes it important beyond its obvious power. As the country with the fifteenth highest GDP in the world, it should not be underestimated on its own merits. Mexico has deep and historical issues with the United States, and social forces may arise over the next century that cannot be controlled by either government.
In order to pinpoint events that will occur in the future, we need to examine now which of these events are likely to occur and in what order. A fault line does not necessarily guarantee an earthquake. Fault lines can exist for millennia causing only occasional tremors. But with this many major fault lines, conflict in the twenty- first century is almost certain.
Hot, Flat and Crowded by Thomas Friedman
It was an excellent book, and I always love reading Friedman, Furgason, Krugman and others. His language is clear and straight to the point without too much abstraction. Lots of stats included to back up his argument which I always appreciates. The one message clearly resonates throughout the book that is green green green or we die. Hehe “Renewable energy ecosystem for innovating, generating, and deploying clean power”
There were many ideas to pick, and also some business clues to pursue but without much feasibility study and small market in MOnoglia, it is hard to say anything substantial upfront.
Google said it was going into the energy innovation and generation business.
p.8: IN some ways, the subprime mortgage mess and housing crisis are metaphors for what has come over America in recent years: A certain connection between hard work, achievement, and accountability has been broken. We’ve become a subprime nation that thinks it can just borrow its way to prosperity – putting nothing down and making no payments for two years. Subprime lenders told us that we could have the American dream – a home of our own – without the discipline or sacrifice that home ownership requires.
p.23: Le me repeat that: Green is not simply a new form of generating electric power. It is a new form of generating national power – period. It is not just about lighting up our house; it is about lighting up our future.
56: At current rates of growth, the world economy will double in size in a mere fourteen years. (The bridge at the edge of the world by James Gustave SPeth)
“Americans” are popping up all over now […] moving into American stly living spaces, buying American style cars … Cities all over the world have caught America’s affluenza – surely one of the most infectious diseases ever known to man.
p.69: Tha bad news for today’s rising economic powers and new capitalists is that there are few virgin commons left to fule their takeoff into capitalism. “That’s why China is now reduced to stealing manhole covers,” said Pope. “Yes, it is unfair, but it’s the reality.”
p.117: 280 ppm CO2 in 1750, now 384 ppm.
p.187: Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will give you water in the desert from a deep generator powered well. Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will put every petrodictator out of business. Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons, and I will end deforestation from communities desperate for fuel and I will eliminate any reason to drill in Mother Nature’s environmental cathedrals. Give me abundant, clean, reliable, and cheap electrons,
and I will enable millions of the world’s poor to get connected, …
p.203: A reent studyt found the average American golfer walks about 900 miles a year. Another study found American golfer drink on average, 22 gallons of alcohol a year. That means, on average, Americangolfers get about 41 miles to the gallon.
Kind of makes you proud. – From the internet
p.207: Pentagon planners like to say: “A vision without resources is a hallucination.”
p.244: But markets are not just open fields to which you simply add water and then sit back in a lawn chair, watch whatever randomly sprouts, and assume that the best outcome will always result. No, markets are like gardens. You have to intelligently design and fertilize them – with the right taxes, regulations, incentives, and disincentives – so they yield the good, healthy crops necessary for you to thrive.
p.273: Another way of putting it, Porter explained to me, is that pollution is simply waste: wasted resources, wasted energy, wasted materials. Companies that eliminate such waste will be using their capital, technology, and raw materials more productively to generate maximum value and therefore, will become more competitive. So properly crafted environmental regulations give a kind of two-for-one kick – they can improve both the environment and the competitiveness of a firm and a nation. […]
What is the difference betweena 20 percent and a 30 percent air conditioner energy-efficiency standard? Salon’s Leonard asked. Only about twelve 400 megawatt power plants.
p.290: A barrel of crude oil is forty two gallons. America consumes over twenty-one million barrels of crude oil per day, with more than half of that imported. About fourteen million of the twenty-one million goes to cars, trucks, planes, buses, and trains. The remaining seven million barrels go into heating buildings and manufacturing chemical and plastics.
p.309 “We always start by looking at the local power structure,” said Supriatna, “understanding the local communities, their cultures, their social and economic aspects, and the influence of the business sector – and [focusing on] what was in it for them and not just the orangutan.” If the orangutan benefits and the community doesn’t “ we lose th efounation for protecting the whole.”
p.373: America took roughly thirty two years between its first major effort to raise fuel economy standards for cars, in 1975 and its second major effort in 2007. Meanwhile, in 2003 China began to put in place a major fuel economy initiative for its cars and trucks and sent proposed new standards to the State Council for approval. They were adopted in 2004 and went into effect in 2005. Now all new cars and trucks must meet the new standard.
p.377: Jeff Biggers, author of The United States of Appalachia, wrote an essay in The Washington Post (March 2, 2008) that seemed to be a direct refutation of the plug into-coal advertisement:
Clean coal: Never was there an oxymoron more insidious, or more dangerous to our public health. Invoked as often by t eDemocratic Presidential candidates as by the Republicans… this slogan has blindsided any meaningful progress toward a sustainable energy policy… Here’s the hog-killing reality… No matter how “cap’n trade” schemes pan out in the distant future for coal fired plants, strip mining and underground coal mining remain the dirtiest and most destructive ways of making energy. Coal ain’s clean. Coal is deadly.
p.391: I understand politics. I am not naïve. But I also understand a crisis and an opportunity. As my friend the former Standford economist Paul Romer likes to say, “A crisis is a terrible thing to waste” But we are well on our way.
p.411: So what am I? I guess I wold call myself a sober optimist – I prefer to hold on to both of Auden Schendler’s business cards. If you are not sober about the scale of the challenge, then you are not paying attention. But if you are not an optimist, you have no chance of generating the kind of mass movement needed to achieve the needed scale.
Energy Autonomy by Hermann Scheer
The author is an amazing guy. I have not met him yet, but I am already impressed by his achievements and perseverance to promote renewable energy. In this book, he argued clearly and coherently why renewable energy is the only option we have today why not the nuclear or others. Over 20 years of pursuit, he finally established IRENA.
p.11: The bottlenecks and limits of nuclear and fossil energy supplies are just too obvious for that. But every setback results not only in additional lost time; it also breeds social-psychological discouragement. It is difficult for people who have taken the initiative in a spirit of high hopes, only to suffer repeated setbacks and disappointment, to summon up th energy and take a second go at it.
p.38: The consequences of energy poverty are ruinous exploitation of biomass, increasing steppe land, rural flight into the cities overflowing slums, the destruction of social structures and the disintegration of states, and crises that spill over into international conflicts. And yet, in a grotesque musjudgement of reality, using indigenous renewable energy to overcome this energy-determined poverty crisis is deemed economically unreasonable.
p.53: What matters are ideas and attitudes that can unleash initiatives. In any event, the basic assumption of an insufficient technological potential in untenable.
p.163: The conference’s final declaration warns: We risk the entrenchment of these global disparities and unless we act in a manner that fundamentally changes their lives the poor of the world may lose confidence in their representatives and the democratic systems to which we remain committed, seeing their representatives as nothing more than sounding brass or tinkling cymbals.
p.231: There is an important job to be done and
Everybody expects that Somebody would do it
Anybody could do it, but Nobody did it.
Somebody gets angry about that because it is Everybody’s job.
Everybody thinks that Anybody should do it,
but Nobody realizes that Everybody would not do it.
It ends up that Everybody blames Somebody
when Nobody does what Anybody has to do.
Windup Bird chronicle
May Kasahara
Wind-Up Bird
Kumiko
Nutmeg
p. 29:A noncommissioned officer with Japan’s Manchurian garrison, the Kwantung Army, he had suffered burst eardrums when an artillery shell or a hand grenade or something exploded nearby during a battle with a combined Soviet-Outer Mongolian unit at Nomon-han on the border between Outer Mongolia and Manchuria.
p.56 I am thirsty but I have stay still. I am hungry and I have to stay still. Where I suppose to stay still, I have to stay till.
p.275 Those people believe that the world is as consistent and explainable as the floor plan of a new house in a high-priced development, so if you do everything in a logical, consistent way, everything will turn out right in the end. That’s why they get upset and sad and angry when I’m not like that.
p.297
THE POWER TO LEAD
Soft power:
1. Emotional Intelligence
2. Create a vision
3. Communications - Rhetoric & Non-verbal communication
Hard Power Skill
1. Organizational skills - capacity to manage information flows and get things done.
2. Machevillion political skills - ability to size up people's fears and their hopes, play upon it minimum coalition to make things done. Stregths and weakness to create a coalition
- how to make alliances
- how to bully people into setting standards (bullying with a vision)
3. Contextual intelligence - when to use what kind of strategies.
- You have to know the culture how to operate in it.
- You have to know about the timing - when to act, when not to act, like a skilled surfer: Steps up on the board fall of Ex: Eiserhouwer adapted in the environment to lead.
Barack Obama A Biography by Joann F.Price
p.36 Barack was handed a list of people to interview and was charged with
the task of finding their self-interest. That was how people became involved
in organizations, Marty said, because they believed they would
get something out of the process. Once he found an issue, a self-interest,
that people cared about, he could get them to take action, and with action,
there would be power. Barack liked these concepts of issues, spurring action,
power, and people’s self-interest. For the first three weeks of his job,
he worked around the clock.
p.40 Another member of the DCP, Loretta Augustine-Herron, said of Barack that he was “someone who always followed the high road,” and she remembered him saying, “You’ve
got to do it right . . . be open with the issues . . . include the community instead of going behind the community’s back . . . you’ve got to bring people together. If you exclude people, you’re only weakening yourself. If you meet behind doors and make decisions for them, they’ll never take ownership of the issue.”
p.42 Barack had wanted to be part of a community, have a sense of
belonging, and he had a desire for acceptance; this was, he realized, what
drove him away from New York and to Chicago in the first place. Yet
what he found in his work as a community activist was that, to be true to
himself, he had to do what was right for others and have a commitment
and faith. He also realized that to understand suffering required something
else, too, but he had to find out what that something was. Faith in
oneself wasn’t enough
p.49 In his speeches, he tried to steer clear of contention, stick to
safe topics, and listen to others’ opinions.
p.55 Paul L. Williams, a lobbyist in Springfield, Illinois, and
a former state representative, said that Barack “came with a huge dose
of practicality,” and characterized Barack’s attitude as, “O.K., that makes
sense and sounds great, as I’d like to go to the moon, but right now I’ve
only got enough gas to go this far.
p.74 On one evening alone, he raised nearly $1 million for the Arizona
Democratic Party at a dinner attended by nearly 1,400 people. He also, in
2005, raised an estimated $1.8 million for his own political action committee,
known as the Hopefund.
p.90 On a visit to New Hampshire in December 2006, to an audience
described as rock-star size, Barack said, “America is ready to turn the
page. America is ready for a new set of challenges. This is our time. A
new generation is prepared at lead.”
p.93 Portraying
his candidacy as a movement rather than a campaign, he said, “Each
and every time, a new generation has risen up and done what’s needed to
be done. Today we are called once more, and it is time for our generation to answer that call.
p.100 When asked if senators who voted in favor of authorizing
the war bear some responsibility for the war in Iraq, Barack answered that
the authorization allowed the Bush administration to wage a war that has
damaged national security. “I leave it up to those senators to make their
own assessments in how they would do things differently or not.”
How to move mount Fuji
P.21 The "ordeal by trick question" was
possibly raised to the highest art by the monks of Japanese Zen.
Zen riddles are the antithesis of the Western logic puzzle,
though one might describe them as demanding an extreme sort
of outside-the-box thinking. A student of Zen demonstrates
worthiness by giving a sublimely illogical answer to an
impossible question. Zen master Shuzan once held out his short
staff and announced to a follower: "If you call this a short staff,
you oppose its reality. If you do not call it a short staff, you ignore
the fact. Now what do you wish to call this?" In traditional Zen
teaching, the penalty for a poor answer was a hard whack on the
head with a short staff.
Where do you see yourself in five
years? What do you do on your day off? What's the last book
you've read? What are you most proud of?
p.35 Terman defined intelligence as the ability to reason
abstractly. You may not feel this definition says a whole lot. It
was nonetheless reverentially quoted in the twentiethcentury
literature of intelligence testing. Today, it would
probably satisfy Microsoft's interviewers as a definition of
intelligence. Terman's main point was that intelligence is not
knowledge of facts but the ability to manipulate concepts.
p.59In 1979 Microsoft was fifteen people in Albuquerque headed by a twenty-threeyear old kid.
p.66Just in case anyone is in danger of forgetting this, the secret
to remaining ahead of the pack is not "Get Fat" It's "Stay
Hungry." Creativity doesn't happen without a few
constraints. That's why wise use of resources has been a
business tradition at Microsoft since the early days, when, to
be perfectly honest, there wasn't much choice in the
matter. But it remains our practice today, for the simple
reason that when you start leaning on your wealth instead
of living by your wits, you're in real danger of losing your
edge.
p.79"Good candidates have a tendency to try to naturally
keep things moving forward," says Spolsky, "even when you
try to hold them back. If the conversation ever starts going
around in circles, and the candidate says something like
'Well, we can talk about this all day, but; we've got to do
something, so let's go with decision X,' that's a really good sign."
p.98 "Throughout the interview, you look for the
candidate to say something that is absolutely, positively,
unarguably correct. Then you say, 'Wait a minute, wait a
minute,' and spend about two minutes playing devil's
advocate. Argue with them when you are sure they are right.
"Weak candidates will give in. No hire. Strong
candidates will find a way to persuade you. They will have a
whole laundry list of Dale Carnegie techniques to win you
over. 'Perhaps I'm misunderstanding you,' they will say. But
they will stand their ground. Hire."
p.104 Some recent analyses send the message that no one knows how to solve a problem until he or she solves it. In contrast to Simon's solution space, Harvard psychologist David Perkins speaks of a "clueless plateau." If the space of possible solutions is a landscape, and the right solution is somewhere on a big plateau over there, then you've got to search the whole plateau (and are clueless about where to start).
p.132 1. First decide 'what kind of answer is expected (monologue or dialogue). Design questions ("Design a spice rack") have no single right answer. That does not mean that everything is a right answer. "Not-so-smart candidates think that design is like painting: you get a blank slate, and you can do whatever you want," says Joel Spolsky. "Smart candidates understand that design is a difficult series of trade-offs."
p.136 6. "Perfectly logical beings" are not like you and me.
p.137 When you hit a brick wall, try to list the assumptions you're making. See what happens when you reject each of these assumptions in succession.
When crucial information is missing in a logic puzzle, lay out the possible scenarios. You'll almost always find that you don't need the missing information to solve the problem.
The Ascent of Money by Neil Furgeson
p.88: With success came ever greater wealth. When Nathan died in 1836 his personal fortune was equivalent to 0.62 percent of British national income. Between 1818 and 1852 the combined capital of the five Rothschild houses rose from ₤1.8 million to ₤9.5 million. As early as 1825 their combined capital was nine times greatr than that of Baring Brothers and the Banque de France.
p.98: The fate of those who lost their shirts on Confederate bonds was not especially unusual in the nineteenth century.
p.105: Worst of all was the social and psychological trauma caused by the crisis. “ Inflation is a crowd phenomenon in the strictest and most concrete sense of the word,” Elias cannetti later wrote of his experience as a young man in inflation stricken Frankfurt.
p.111: Yet it would be wrong to see this as yet another case of a defeated regime liquidating its debts through inflation. What made Argentina’s inflation so unmanageable was not war, but the constellation of social forces: the oligarchs, the caudillos, the producers’ interest groups and the trade unions – not forgetting the impoverished underclass or descamizados…
p.182: It may sound like just another story of Southern moral laxity or proof that those who live by the tort, die by the tort. Yet, regardless of Scrugg’s descent from good fellow to bad felon, the fact remains that both State Farm and All State have now decl;ared a large part of the Gulf of Mexico coast a “no insurance” zone.
p.183: The average American’s lifetime risk of death from exposure to forces of nature, including all kinds of natural disaster, has been estimated at 1 in 3288. The equivalent figurefor death due to a fire in a building is 1 in 1358. The odds of the average American being shot to death are 1 in 314. But he or she is even more likely to commit suicide (1 in 119); more likely still die in a fatal road accident (1 in 78); and most likely of all to die of cancer (1 in 5).
p.215: For Jose Pinera, just 24 when Pinochet seized power, the invitation to return to Chile from harvard posed an agonizing dilemma. He had no illusions about the nature of Pinochet’s regime. Yet he also believed there was an oppotrunity to put into practice ideas that had been taking shape in his mind ever since his arrival in New England. The key, as he saw it, was not just to reduce inflation. It was also essential to foster that link between property rights and political rights which ahd been at the heart of the successful North American experiment with capitalist democracy. There was no surer way to do this, Pinera believed, than radically to overhaul the welfare state, beginning with the pay as-you-go system of funding state pensions and other benefits. As he was it:…
Underground by Haruki Murakami
